If Elections Were Held Today
This nowcast starts from the latest public national vote-intent benchmark released by independent research on December 28, 2025, then blends in the current Kenyan RSS leader momentum already flowing through the platform.
Public Benchmark
KVP Benchmarks
Released December 28, 2025 • Sample 1,000 • All 47 counties
RSS Refresh
Freshening now
Worker cron already refreshes the intelligence pipeline every 15 minutes
Articles Today
0
Current news-intelligence volume shaping the nowcast
Main Issue Right Now
cost of living
Highest active issue in the current feed
Current Held-Today Estimate
Undecided
National undecided pool
31%
William Ruto
UDA
28%
0 tracked mentionsMedia index 50/100Public benchmark 28%
Fred Matiangi
Jubilee-aligned
13%
0 tracked mentionsMedia index 50/100Public benchmark 13%
Kalonzo Musyoka
Wiper
12%
0 tracked mentionsMedia index 50/100Public benchmark 12%
Babu Owino
ODM-aligned
7%
0 tracked mentionsMedia index 50/100Public benchmark 7%
Rigathi Gachagua
DCP
5%
0 tracked mentionsMedia index 50/100Public benchmark 5%
Martha Karua
PLP
2%
0 tracked mentionsMedia index 50/100Public benchmark 2%
Eugene Wamalwa
DAP-K
2%
0 tracked mentionsMedia index 50/100Public benchmark 2%